ページ内を移動するためのリンクです。


National Institute of Population and Social Security Research

  • size

  1. Top Page
  2. About Institute : Population Projection


About Institute

Population Projection
In order to provide basic information for planning the mid- to long-term national social security systems and for other related policies, the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research releases various population and household projections: “Population Projections for Japan,” “Regional Population Projections for Japan,” “Household Projections for Japan,” and “Household Projections for Japan by Prefecture.”
Population Projections for Japan
“Population Projections for Japan” is a projection of the overall size and the age-sex breakdown of Japan’s future population, used widely as an important reference by the national and local governments and in other various fields. These projections are based on demographic analyses using the Census, vital statistics, and the national representative surveys conducted by the Institute.
●Population in Japan
Population Trends in Japan
Sources: Population estimates by the former Cabinet Bureau of Statistics; Statistics Bureau of Japan, “Population Census” and “Population Estimates”; National Institute of Population and Social Security Research, “Population Projections for Japan: 2021?2070” [Medium-Fertility (Medium- Mortality)]
●Changes in Population Pyramid
Sources: 1970 and 2020: “Population Census”; 2070: “Population Projections for Japan: 2021?2070” (Medium-Mortality)
Regional Population Projections
Under the circumstances of the aging population and low fertility rates throughout the country, regional population projections are used as the basic data for formulating various socioeconomic and community welfare plans. While the population is aging nationwide, there are considerable regional variations in the trends of the elderly population and the aging rate.
●Percentage of population aged 65 and over by prefecture in 2020 and 2050
Percentage of population aged 65 and over by prefecture in 2020 and 2050
●Index of total population by municipality: 2050 (with 2020 set as 100)
Index of total population by municipality: 2050 (with 2020 set as 100)




●Year in which the population aged 65 and over will peak by municipality: 2020?2050
Year in which the population aged 65 and over will peak by municipality: 2020?2050
*Fukushima Prefecture’s Hamadori region is treated as a single region in the projections.
Sources: “Population Census”; “Regional Population Projections for Japan: 2020?2050”