IPSS Home  Population Projections for Japan (2017)

Table 3-2 Download


Table 3-2: Projections of Proportion of Young-age Population (under 15): Medium-, high-, and low-fertility (medium-, high-, and low-mortality) projections
(%)
Year Medium mortality assumption High mortality assumption Low mortality assumption
Medium fertility High fertility  Low fertility  Medium fertility High fertility  Low fertility  Medium fertility High fertility  Low fertility 
2015 12.5 12.5 12.5 12.5 12.5 12.5 12.5 12.5 12.5
2016 12.4 12.5 12.4 12.4 12.5 12.4 12.4 12.4 12.4
2017 12.3 12.4 12.3 12.3 12.4 12.3 12.3 12.4 12.3
2018 12.2 12.3 12.1 12.2 12.3 12.2 12.2 12.3 12.1
2019 12.1 12.3 12.0 12.1 12.3 12.0 12.1 12.2 11.9
2020 12.0 12.3 11.8 12.1 12.3 11.9 12.0 12.2 11.8
2021 11.9 12.3 11.6 12.0 12.3 11.7 11.9 12.2 11.6
2022 11.8 12.2 11.4 11.9 12.3 11.5 11.8 12.2 11.4
2023 11.7 12.2 11.2 11.8 12.3 11.3 11.6 12.2 11.2
2024 11.6 12.2 11.0 11.7 12.3 11.1 11.5 12.2 11.0
2025 11.5 12.2 10.8 11.6 12.3 10.9 11.4 12.1 10.7
2026 11.4 12.2 10.6 11.5 12.3 10.7 11.3 12.1 10.5
2027 11.3 12.2 10.4 11.4 12.3 10.5 11.2 12.1 10.3
2028 11.2 12.2 10.2 11.3 12.3 10.3 11.1 12.2 10.2
2029 11.1 12.3 10.1 11.2 12.4 10.2 11.1 12.2 10.0
2030 11.1 12.3 9.9 11.2 12.4 10.0 11.0 12.2 9.9
2031 11.0 12.3 9.8 11.1 12.4 9.9 10.9 12.2 9.7
2032 10.9 12.3 9.7 11.0 12.4 9.7 10.8 12.2 9.6
2033 10.9 12.3 9.6 11.0 12.4 9.6 10.8 12.2 9.5
2034 10.8 12.3 9.5 11.0 12.4 9.6 10.7 12.2 9.4
2035 10.8 12.3 9.5 10.9 12.4 9.6 10.7 12.1 9.4
2036 10.8 12.2 9.4 10.9 12.3 9.5 10.7 12.1 9.3
2037 10.8 12.2 9.4 10.9 12.3 9.5 10.7 12.1 9.3
2038 10.8 12.1 9.5 10.9 12.3 9.6 10.7 12.0 9.3
2039 10.8 12.1 9.5 10.9 12.2 9.6 10.6 12.0 9.4
2040 10.8 12.1 9.5 10.9 12.2 9.6 10.6 11.9 9.4
2041 10.8 12.0 9.5 10.9 12.2 9.6 10.6 11.9 9.4
2042 10.7 12.0 9.5 10.9 12.1 9.6 10.6 11.9 9.4
2043 10.7 12.0 9.5 10.9 12.1 9.6 10.6 11.8 9.4
2044 10.7 11.9 9.5 10.9 12.1 9.6 10.6 11.8 9.4
2045 10.7 11.9 9.5 10.8 12.1 9.6 10.6 11.8 9.4
2046 10.7 11.9 9.5 10.8 12.0 9.6 10.5 11.7 9.3
2047 10.7 11.9 9.4 10.8 12.0 9.6 10.5 11.7 9.3
2048 10.6 11.9 9.4 10.8 12.0 9.5 10.5 11.7 9.3
2049 10.6 11.9 9.4 10.7 12.0 9.5 10.5 11.7 9.2
2050 10.6 11.9 9.3 10.7 12.0 9.4 10.4 11.7 9.2
2051 10.5 11.9 9.3 10.7 12.0 9.4 10.4 11.7 9.1
2052 10.5 11.9 9.2 10.6 12.0 9.3 10.4 11.7 9.1
2053 10.5 11.9 9.1 10.6 12.1 9.2 10.3 11.7 9.0
2054 10.4 11.9 9.0 10.6 12.1 9.2 10.3 11.8 8.9
2055 10.4 11.9 9.0 10.5 12.1 9.1 10.2 11.8 8.8
2056 10.4 12.0 8.9 10.5 12.1 9.0 10.2 11.8 8.7
2057 10.3 12.0 8.8 10.5 12.2 8.9 10.2 11.8 8.6
2058 10.3 12.0 8.7 10.5 12.2 8.9 10.1 11.9 8.6
2059 10.3 12.1 8.6 10.4 12.3 8.8 10.1 11.9 8.5
2060 10.2 12.1 8.6 10.4 12.3 8.7 10.1 11.9 8.4
2061 10.2 12.1 8.5 10.4 12.3 8.6 10.1 11.9 8.3
2062 10.2 12.2 8.4 10.4 12.4 8.6 10.0 12.0 8.3
2063 10.2 12.2 8.4 10.4 12.4 8.6 10.0 12.0 8.2
2064 10.2 12.2 8.4 10.4 12.4 8.5 10.0 12.0 8.2
2065 10.2 12.2 8.3 10.4 12.4 8.5 10.0 12.0 8.2
Current population as of October 1 of each year. Indices for 2015 are based on the jump-off population from the 2015 Population Census by the Statistics Bureau of the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications (Unknown age and nationality population is included after being prorated to each age and nationality population.)