Household projections by family type for Japan between 1995 and 2020 were conducted using a multidimensional household transition method. The projection model was based on the transition probabilities of individualsf household positions. These probabilities were estimated from a nationally representative sample survey. According to the projection results, the average household size will decline from 2.82 people in 1995 to 2.49 in 2020. The proportion of one-person households is expected to increase from 25.6% in 1995 to 29.7% in 2020. It was also predicted that the absolute number of households in Japan will start to decrease before 2020. Detailed data are provided in Tables 1]9 and Appendixes 1]7.
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